Before I get to the USPSTF's D grade, let's be clear as to how finely they're dividing the population & parsing their words, almost as if in legalese. For instance, this Recommendation Statement only addresses primary fracture prevention, that is in those men & women who've never had an osteoporotic fracture before. In this statement getting all the press, there's no attempt to address secondary prevention in those who've already sustained a hip or vertebral or wrist fracture. Furthermore, there's no mention of institutionalized postmenopausal women, just noninstitutionalized postmenopausal women & premenopausal women (along w/men).
So it's for those non-institutionalized postmenopausal women who take less than 1,000mg daily of calcium and/or less than 400 units daily of vitamin D for whom the USPSTF was unable to find any benefit. Worse there was some concern over an increase risk for kidney stones. Thus they recommended against this dose in this group since they can't recommend something that offers no benefit while putting that person at risk, no matter how small. Check out the editorial for more info.
If this appears to be an about-face from their December 2011 meta-analysis & June 2012 draft, both published in the Annals of Internal Medicine, read the conclusion carefully: Combined vitamin D and calcium supplementation can reduce fracture risk, but the effects may be smaller among community-dwelling older adults than among institutionalized elderly persons. Appropriate dose and dosing regimens, however, require further study (italics mine).
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